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Author Topic: Chinese Democracy sales predictions & First week sales  (Read 34056 times)
ShotgunBlues1978
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« on: November 13, 2004, 10:21:58 PM »

I don't think that this album is going to sell nearly as much as their other albums in the US, the anticipation just isn't there amongst the general public and the music scene is so much different than the last time Guns N Roses had an album come out.  But GnR is still huge worldwide.  I think it'll sell about 2-3 million in the US with an additional 7-8 million worldwide.  Not shabby at all but not what they used to sell.  Out of the new songs they've played so far The Blues has hit written all over it but it's not a Sweet Child O' Mine, Don't Cry, November Rain type of hit. 
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« Reply #1 on: November 13, 2004, 11:23:56 PM »

3-5 million in the usa about 10m world wide.
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« Reply #2 on: November 13, 2004, 11:29:51 PM »

depends, if it is a good to great album with 3 or 4 kick ass singles 2 to 3 million in the US 8-10 worldwide

if its a classic album that transcends and really crosses over maybe 4-5 to million in the US and 10 -12 worldwide

it will definitely turn a profit i can almost guarantee that much!
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« Reply #3 on: November 14, 2004, 12:04:34 AM »

Id say if it sells more thn 2million in the States, it can be considered a success - upwards of that a big success. I think it will sell very well in Europe and other markets as well, likely due to the name GN'R and peoples perceived notions of what that name represents
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« Reply #4 on: November 14, 2004, 02:38:34 AM »

US:sells close close to 1mil first week or so, then dosen't sell as much after that, but sells steady, comming to a US total of around 4mil.
Worldwide:sells better than US, selling 8-10mil.

either way its really going to depend on good singles, and promotion
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« Reply #5 on: November 14, 2004, 02:55:22 AM »

You guys are so negative...

83 millions of copies in the US...


and 248 millions world wide ! rofl
« Last Edit: November 14, 2004, 03:13:15 AM by Taz » Logged
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« Reply #6 on: November 14, 2004, 04:20:32 AM »

I think if VR can land about 2 million off Contraband... Chinese Democracy could maybe reach 4-5 million, if it's as good as it's *supposed* to be.
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badapple81
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« Reply #7 on: November 14, 2004, 05:03:42 AM »

Will sell a couple of million just from curiosity. Should the singles are good and the promotions/reviews are good.. over 6 million worldwide I'd say.
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« Reply #8 on: November 14, 2004, 05:05:20 AM »

0 copies ... because it would have to be released in order to sell any copies  Wink
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« Reply #9 on: November 14, 2004, 06:01:40 AM »

in first 3-4 wekks about milion in usa,after madagascar singl 10 milion in next couple months in usa.

Maybe,new gnr cd will be killer album
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« Reply #10 on: November 14, 2004, 06:27:34 AM »

IMO it will sell 2-3 million copies in the US and about 10 million copies worldwide.I wonder how many copies of CD sould be sold so that geffen makes a profit out of it(since they have invested 10+ million dollars in it and they will spend even more when CD is out in order to promote it... )Huh
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« Reply #11 on: November 14, 2004, 07:00:05 AM »

The "greatest hits" album is selling very well: 8 month after its released, it has already sold over 6.5 million copies worldwide (1.2 million in the US), so in march 2005 (wich would mean 1 year after its released date), it will probably be around 8 million copies worldwide and 1.5 million in the US. Not bad for just a greatest hits!
Don't forget it sells way better worldwide than just in the US, don't forget that the album went to #1 in the UK (the 1st time since 1991) and many european countries and in south america (#1 in Ireland during 6 weeks for exemple). don't forget the promotion wasnt that big, and that there was no single, no videoclip, not tour, almost no real big promotion.

So for "chinese democracy": with a killer first single wich could appeal to everyone (like "the blues", the FIRST IMPRESSION is very important, the blues could have a phenomenal impact in its studio version), with a videoclip on MTV, then with 2 or 3 others as good singles with videoclips on MTV (Madagascar etc...), with a Tour and a huge promotion like Eminem or Beyonce or just like during the Illusion Days where GN'R was everywhere, it could sell over 15 million copies worldwide (5 million in the US).

"The Eminem show" sold over 17 million copies worldwide in 2002. "Chinese Democracy" can be even bigger if the album is really great. People are hungry for Rock Music.
« Last Edit: November 14, 2004, 07:04:17 AM by nesquick » Logged

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« Reply #12 on: November 14, 2004, 07:03:29 AM »

if CD is ever released, thats a big if, I think CD could go 2 to 3 times platinum in the US and sell anywhere from 7 to 9 million units in the rest of the world, the succes of this album is totally goiong to depend on the strength of the material
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« Reply #13 on: November 14, 2004, 07:43:41 AM »

10 Mill world wide!!!
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« Reply #14 on: November 14, 2004, 08:17:09 AM »

I have just re-listened to the small studio extract of "the blues" (boston promo). The production really seems huge. if it is ever released as a single, the record sales could totally exploded...
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« Reply #15 on: November 14, 2004, 08:37:51 AM »

It's likely that it sells more than GH, so we'll see
I heard the old newsongs not endng up as singles, maybe not on cd (axl in  London02)
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« Reply #16 on: November 14, 2004, 10:52:19 AM »

axl said that the songs they play (The Blues,Madagascar,....) wont be released as singles, so i hope we`ll see even better stuff like these as singles.
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« Reply #17 on: November 14, 2004, 11:48:20 AM »

I don't think that this album is going to sell nearly as much as their other albums in the US, the anticipation just isn't there amongst the general public and the music scene is so much different than the last time Guns N Roses had an album come out.? But GnR is still huge worldwide.? I think it'll sell about 2-3 million in the US with an additional 7-8 million worldwide.? Not shabby at all but not what they used to sell.? Out of the new songs they've played so far The Blues has hit written all over it but it's not a Sweet Child O' Mine, Don't Cry, November Rain type of hit.?

One wonders if u have nothing positive to say about the album, who post at all?
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« Reply #18 on: November 14, 2004, 12:49:19 PM »

I don't think that this album is going to sell nearly as much as their other albums in the US, the anticipation just isn't there amongst the general public and the music scene is so much different than the last time Guns N Roses had an album come out.? But GnR is still huge worldwide.? I think it'll sell about 2-3 million in the US with an additional 7-8 million worldwide.? Not shabby at all but not what they used to sell.? Out of the new songs they've played so far The Blues has hit written all over it but it's not a Sweet Child O' Mine, Don't Cry, November Rain type of hit.?

The anticipation isn't there?!? O K then *backing away slowly*
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« Reply #19 on: November 14, 2004, 02:02:06 PM »

I'll say it will open with a sale week of 400,000 and it will go platinum 3-4 times in the usa.. I know it will be number one everywhere but it will be on n the charts longer outside of the states...

It also dpends on how it's released ,the time period before it comes out to give the sleeping fans a heads up.. Solid single and a video a few weeks before the release and some interviews, [possibly closing or performing at a big music show..

It has the chance to do better then I mentioned above, it's just all how it's brought to the world..
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