Chinese Democracy sales predictions & First week sales

[Super-Ecwfan1]

                   Its gonna be interesting to see Greatest Hits #2 does when its released June 6th. Also take into account a lot of the big bands have released thier albums early so G'n'R's could be the most awaited album of the fall.

                    The work behind making the albumk sell must be " Touring , hit single and advertising ". When Greatest Hits #1 was released it had a commercial that advertised it well on cable/TV.

                     If the album comes out in October I'd say: Line up appearances on David Letterman , Saturday Night Live , and MTV. Have a scheduled " Making the Video " documentry with Rose and band sharing thoughts on album for MTV. Have them host Headbangers Ball on MTV 2 to promote single/album/Tour.

                        The hype is already behind Guns n Roses. Thier playing hot sold out shows , kickin ass and all they need is the single/tour and futher drive to sell it. With a good approach they could move at least 600,000 copies thier 1st week of release .
 
                     

[ppbebe]

I don't think contraband that bad. I enjoyed it for a few weeks.

However we don't need the Rolling Stone to tell that they are already better than whatever.
Just open your ears and heart.

IRS, for instance, alone will represent the pinnacle of hard rock music.

I'm not very interested in sales figures. Ideally it will sale so so in the first week, which should be ok, considering and keep selling and in the long run it will become a monumental record. And the succeeding albums will do the same.

I think Guns fans should stop with "Axl should do this and Axl should do that". Axl does what he wants to do.

He is smart enough, if his plan is indeed a multi-release, to bring us THREE COHERENT AND WELL BALANCED albums.

that's about it, I think.  well unsure about the coherent bit.

Back on topic, I think Chinese Democracy will sell PRETTY well. Good music, good new songs, great band with charismatic and talented individualities, long long long awaited almost mythic album and, as someone mentioned earlier, and this is SO true, people AND fans HATING Guns n' Roses with passion!.. We may have a magic recipe here...

Some people and some fans may be hating this band with passion but they are rather in the minority.

[ShotgunBlues1978]

never under estimate the power of axl rose- i think it will sell 10 million or more in usa. worldwide i dont have a guess probably a hell of a lot.

Not even the Illusions sold that many copies.  But I do think CD will sell between 500,000 and 750,000 copies the first week and around 3 million US, 10 million worldwide within a few years of its release

[madagas]

Assuming it is released and the euro tour doesn't implode-that's a good ballpark Shotgun. I agree. At least 500,000 the first week-about 3 million after a year and a half or so. Could reach 4 million if he can string 3 quality singles together.

[pebbles]

never under estimate the power of axl rose- i think it will sell 10 million or more in usa. worldwide i dont have a guess probably a hell of a lot.

Not even the Illusions sold that many copies.? But I do think CD will sell between 500,000 and 750,000 copies the first week and around 3 million US, 10 million worldwide within a few years of its release

I have high hopes for my man. lol

[da_pope]

never under estimate the power of axl rose- i think it will sell 10 million or more in usa. worldwide i dont have a guess probably a hell of a lot.

Not even the Illusions sold that many copies.? But I do think CD will sell between 500,000 and 750,000 copies the first week and around 3 million US, 10 million worldwide within a few years of its release

I have high hopes for my man. lol

High hope's set you up for dissapointment.

[axl_rose_700]

11,257,047

bank on it

[HungerForChaos]

never under estimate the power of axl rose- i think it will sell 10 million or more in usa. worldwide i dont have a guess probably a hell of a lot.

Not even the Illusions sold that many copies.  But I do think CD will sell between 500,000 and 750,000 copies the first week and around 3 million US, 10 million worldwide within a few years of its release

I have high hopes for my man. lol

High hope's set you up for dissapointment.

Low hopes set you up for disbelief.

[ZoulonFire]

axl said that the songs they play (The Blues,Madagascar,....) wont be released as singles, so i hope we`ll see even better stuff like these as singles.

Really?  Hmmm.  Where'd he say that ?

A

[GnR-NOW]

even if they released just 1 copy, it would sell more then it already has

[crimson_joel]

3-4 Million US...but like over a year or two to get there & about 2-3 Million For the rest of the world.

[The New Fiona Apple]

Well, figure that Velvet Revolver, which doesn't have the GNR name or the quality, sold about 3 million copy or so.

You would have to figure that the band with the name,more hype,more money put into the album,higher quality music, and with the main mind of the original band that they would sell at least around 4 million. Geffen is not gonna let the album fail. They've waited long enough.

[jazjme]

I wanted to make sure I read this whole thread before making a post, that being said, I think  many people including myself are goin to be totally mindboggled at how succesful this album really will be.

And I want to point to other discussions over the years concerning this. (and Im not tryng to accesss old thread but jsut recap from memorie things I remember)

    There was discusion concerning "promotion ", and  how to regain the american audience after 2002 fiaso

 many points were brought up, one of which was tour europe first. Well in a sencce thats what is happening.BUT!!!!!!!!!

TO our  colective surpirse, myself included , they decided to throw 4 !!!! Warm up shows here in the US in NYC!. NOw follow me here, what that estentially did and rather in great way, was remind THE US of GNR(and as much as I wished GH wasnt, and Axl and the old band fought it) frankly it turned out to be something  of a gift.

GH closing in on 4 mil now. Has anyone check billboard, this album as it stands as far as I know is one of the longest to stay in billboards top 200, Pink Floyds Dark Side of the Moon holds that distinction with being in the chart for something like 16yrs! OK I just checked GNR , GH's is at # 75 http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/charts/chart_display.jsp?f=The+Billboard+200&pageNumber=Top+51-100&g=Albums and 114 week, over 2 yrs. NOw put some perspective on this, alot of people already know now that this is a whole new line up, hell the MTV gen know, and the people are getting this  are new fans of NEW GNR , but want to know the old stuff . Its not your over 35 crowd , driving the sales I can guarenfuckintee that!

So another thing of interest, how many of you subscribe to say Google alerts for GNR. I have been inundated with items for all over including the US. So again follow me and my logic, and the first thing I pointed out about GNR doin 4 shows in NY, what that did not only became just a New York thing, but look now you have the rolling stone review (and very complimentary, you have even news outlets as CNN, and Fox news that reported on the goin ons.(older fans who may have forgot those times of debautary) And then you had Tommy Hillfiger, and Axl in bar brawl. Now this i stuff that has reached even the smallest midwest towns where they crave celebrity knowlege , People magazine. And then you had AOL!, you know how many fucking people are surbcribed to that, and bet your ass, there were a few million kids in the heartland, claiming to be tired and were just gonna retire to bed that night, just so they could see Axl Rose and what this GNR is all about.

So, with all thing s considered, and the fact that the man himself said CD WILL be out this YR, and as far as I can see GNR are storming Europe and taking names, as they stormed Hammerstein a few weeks back, little by little , and the internet I suspect Axl sees now isnt really a garbage can anymore. Honestly I dont even want to wager a guess on how well CD will do.

BUT with all I just mentioned and I was there when Illusions came out, (well I had it 2 weeks before the actual release, .

So long as things keep rolling  well and naysayers keep get shut down, fuck, how many already crawled away because all these shows have happned!. BUt no doubt they lurch and sit there waiting to pounce on anything they can to say , YES I WIN< HAHAHA, GNR ARE NOTHING!.lol BUT thing is I see way to many gulloms in the future!!!!!!!!


So again, IM excited and frightened by how well this album will do, and if you think otherwise, jsut remeber what happens to bitter , poisoned people.

Ill throw my estimate,  , 1 million plus first week  US, where it ends, MUSIC will ahve to do the talking! 

[Voodoochild]

Great post, jaz. I think you had some good points there.

I think hes indeed making a comeback to the media too, and that says a lot.

[debonbon27]

Ill throw my estimate,? , 1 million plus first week? US

No way, that is so far from realiity is scary, NO band/artist could do that in this day and age.

[jimmythegent]

Ill throw my estimate,? , 1 million plus first week? US, where it ends, MUSIC will ahve to do the talking!?

that's just not going to happen - sorry.

If it were 1994 perhaps, but not with this lineup and not in this age of consumer behaviour and DLing etc..

My guess for first week US sales? 200- 300K debuting at #1 then dropping the next week to 3 then it will depend totally on the quality of the album and how well it's marketed/toured behind

[MR.BROWNSTONE]

I think it will do over 500,000 it's 1st week. For the U.S. it will do over 5 million and World wide over 10 million.

[KillYourIdols]

I think 2-3 million in the US.

[AxlsMainMan]

Definately no less than 650,000 copies sold in the album's first week out...

3.5 - 4 million copies sold in North America alone by at least the album's first whole year on store shelves...

[gandra]

i tjink in usa 5-7 million copies